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Economic Update for the week ending October 24, 2020

Posted by David Salmanson on October 26, 2020

Economic Update – Stock markets moderately lower this week – Stocks markets closed slightly lower this week following three weeks of health gains. Third-quarter corporate profits began to be reported. They were stronger than expected. Investors watched for another round of stimulus to be agreed upon, but despite several deadlines, nothing was accomplished. The good news is that investors are convinced one will be passed, but it could be after the election when it will be safer for congresspeople to compromise without the fear of losing votes. The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed the week at 28,335.67, down 0.9% from 28,608.31 last week. It’s down 0.7% year-to-date. The S&P 500 closed the week at 3,465.39, down 0.5% from 3,483.81 last week. It’s up 7.3% year-to-date. The NASDAQ closed the week at 11,548.58, down 1.1% from 11,671.56 last week. It’s up 28.7% year-to-date.

U.S. Treasury bond yields – The 10-year treasury bond closed the week yielding 0.85%, up from 0.76% last week. The 30-year treasury bond yield ended the week at 1.64% up from 1.52% last week. We watch bond yields because mortgage rates often follow treasury bond yields.

Mortgage rates – The October 22, 2020, Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Survey reported mortgage rates for the most popular loan products as follows: The 30-year fixed mortgage rate average was 2.80%, unchanged from 2.81% last week. The 15-year fixed was 2.33%, almost unchanged from 2.35% last week. The 5-year ARM was 2.87%, almost unchanged from 2.90% last week.

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